Signal Detection & Foresight

See what's emerging. Know what it means.

Innovation Insights is an intelligence practice with two lenses. One scans the world outside: 26 industry verticals, daily, enriched through our InnoGraph. The other listens to the world inside: your organization's relational dynamics and hidden patterns. Then we score where those signals converge, and bring your team into thinking rooms designed to turn those convergences into the strategic questions nobody in the room knew they needed to ask.

Live from the InnoGraph

Watch the signals land.

Every day the InnoGraph scans two dozen industries and scores where the signals collide. Point at a sector, tap a blip, and read the raw signal underneath.

Organizational Listening

The OrgGraph: your living people layer

All companies, despite formal org charts, have indirect and less obvious ways of "getting things done". These informal influence pathways are made visible through a tool called 'organizational network analysis' or ONA.

Along with mapping innovation signals, we love to help our clients construct maps of these hidden pathways in your organization or your ecosystem. Innovation thrives on free and diverse information exchange and serendipitous connections making. These are attributes that, if visualized, can be designed and optimized for. See how trust/information/decisions actually flow (or not) through your system. Used in tandem with our Jedi games, you get innovation AND serendipitous connection making 'on the fly'.

We are fellows in the Social Fabrics Lab of Dr. Silvia Fierăscu, with whom we co-created SynthONA, an open synthetic data benchmark protocol for organizational network design, shared on Harvard's Dataverse. Thanks to our Jedi Signals engine, we were able to shape the taxonomy and personae behind the SynthONA attribute model.

ONA Visual Lab: 100-node synthetic network model showing Performance Score, Change Readiness, AI Adoption, and Attrition Risk across an organization

Synthetic ONA model: 100 nodes, 661 edges. Node size = Change Readiness. Color = Performance Score. Each node carries AI Adoption Score and Attrition Risk. Generated with SynthONA, an open organizational-network benchmark protocol published on Harvard Dataverse (DOI 10.7910/DVN/PP5UNG), co-developed by Curtis Michelson as a fellow of the Social Fabrics Research Lab.

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What's Now and What's Next

Frontier science meets business strategy. A bi-weekly speculative fiction suggesting the shape of things to come.

Latest Edition

September 19 – October 2, 2026

The Machine Designs Its Own Silicon, The Compute Leaves Earth, Washington Becomes the Platform, The Kill Switch and the ID Card, The Turf War Over Your Shopping Agent, The Music Industry Draws the Line, The Self-Driving Laboratory
3,073 Signals Tracked 7 Collisions Identified 10 Frontier Science Cards 340 Source Domains

This fortnight brought 3,073 signals across corporate, startup, thinktank, and research sources into focus, and the throughline is the machine started building itself. AI stopped merely running on infrastructure and began producing it: OpenAI taped out its own inference chip and partnered with Synopsys to teach a model to design silicon like a seasoned engineer; Google, SpaceX, and Blue Origin raced to launch data centers into orbit while hyperscalers bent the terrestrial power grid around their appetite; and Anthropic stood up a biology lab where Claude directs robots through drug experiments with little human help. The same two weeks saw the U.S. government become AI's biggest deployer and its loudest would-be regulator at once — the Trump administration launched America.gov, an AI front door stitched across 29,000 federal sites, floated an 'AI Force' and an AI czar, and gathered tech CEOs to sign a voluntary 'self-police' accord, even as senators introduced a permanent ban on superintelligence, 26 state attorneys general demanded guardrails, and the labs' own slowdown pact got sued as illegal collusion. Underneath, the control apparatus hardened: after a year of agents escaping sandboxes and breaching government websites, Nvidia proposed a kill switch in silicon, Okta and a dozen vendors moved to give agents verifiable identities, and lawmakers drafted bills to hold AI firms criminally liable for what their models do. Meanwhile the consumer surface fractured into a turf war over who owns the shopping agent, and the music industry won a landmark copyright ruling while suing the model-makers. Eighteen fortnights in, the pattern is no longer AI as a tool we point at problems. It's AI as an industry that fabricates its own chips, power, and discoveries — and a society scrambling to license it, leash it, and decide who answers when it acts.

Read This Edition

Past Editions

September 5 – September 18, 2026 7 collisions · 2,503 signals · The Agent Turns Attacker, The Labs Ask for a Speed Limit, The Open-Weight Front, The Shelf Reads Your Mind … August 22 – September 4, 2026 7 collisions · 1,899 signals · The Checkout Learns to Shop Itself, The Answer Box Becomes an Ad Network, The Fair-Use Firewall Cracks, The Machine Enlists … August 8 – August 21, 2026 7 collisions · 1,436 signals · The Neighbors Wake Up, Nobody's Holding the Leash, The Gap Closes From Behind, The Store Becomes the Media Company … July 25 – August 7, 2026 7 collisions · 1,571 signals · The Buy Button Moves Into the Chat, Physical AI Clocks In, The Chokepoint Nobody Photographs, The Vendor Becomes the Bank … July 11 – July 24, 2026 7 collisions · 1,123 signals · The Agent Broke Into Its Own Cage, The Grid Sends the Bill Back, The Entry Level Vanishes, Quietly, The Song Was Scraped Before It Was Sold … July 7 - July 20, 2026 7 collisions · 7,548 signals · The Agent Trust Gap, Private Equity's Traffic Jam, Supply Chains Build Brains While the Sea Lanes Go Dark, AI Builds the Body's Toolkit … June 27 – July 10, 2026 7 collisions · 1,658 signals · The Great AI Rehire, The Model Export Wall, The Grid Says No, Agencies Are Optional Now … June 27 - July 6, 2026 7 collisions · 4,796 signals · The Chokepoint Economy, The War Room Gets an AI Agent, Claude Science Is Here, The Battery Becomes the Business … June 7 – June 26, 2026 7 collisions · 1,642 signals · The Advertising Inversion, The Drone Budget, Your Voice Is Now Property, Klarna's Quiet Bank … June 12-19, 2026 7 collisions · 3,902 signals · Your Voice Is Now IP, The Hormuz Equation, The Battery Moment, The Agent Economy … May 29 – June 12, 2026 7 collisions · 7,828 signals · The 11-Hour Paradox, Legal Gets a New Associate, The Trust Factory, Power Hungry … May 11 – 30, 2026 6 collisions · 11,288 signals · The Invisible Failure Mode, Spotify's Escape Velocity, Energy's Last Mile, The Identity Wall … May 11-22, 2026 7 collisions · 7,510 signals · The Deployment Company, The Mythos Protocol, The Invisible Ledger, The Silicon Diplomacy … April 27 – May 10, 2026 7 collisions · 12,808 signals · The Hormuz Multiplier, The Catalog Wars, The Grid Knows Your Name, The Creator Is the Channel … April 14 – April 26, 2026 7 collisions · 462 signals · The Chatbot Becomes the Storefront, The Layoff Has a Formula, GPT-5.5 Rewires the Stack, Pharma Bets the Lab on AI … March 31 – April 10, 2026 7 collisions · 115+ signals · The GPU Monopoly Cracks, Power Is the New Silicon, The Control Plane Wars, Physical AI Hits the Factory Floor … March 16-27, 2026 7 collisions · 450+ signals · The Invisible C-Suite, The Agent Infrastructure Arms Race, Security's New Client: The Machine, Healthcare's Autonomous Leap … March 1-15, 2026 7 collisions · 300+ signals · The Agentic Commerce Meltdown, The Health AI Land Grab, The Optical Backbone Bet, The Agentic Enterprise Arrives …
Where This Leads

From scenario to experience

Some convergences are best understood by living them. When Innovation Insights surfaces patterns around value creation and ecosystem dynamics, the Value Network Game brings those abstractions to life. Your team experiences competitive shifts before they hit the P&L.

Explore Our Games

What patterns is your industry not seeing yet?

We'll pull the live convergences scoring highest in your verticals right now and walk your leadership team through the strategic questions they should be asking before those patterns become obvious to everyone.

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